Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ

Population Growth in the 905 Portion of the Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ Economic Region Continues to Outshine the City of Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ in 2011-2016

By: Frank Clayton

Senior Research Fellow, CUR

March 3, 2017

The Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ Census Metropolitan Area (CMA), the economic region centred on the city of Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ (Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ), as delineated by Statistics Canada based upon commuting patterns, recorded average annual population growth of 68,995 persons between mid-2011 and mid-2016. This is slower growth than that in the previous decade. Despite the renaissance of population growth in its central area resulting from the condo apartment construction boom, Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµâ€™s average annual growth of 23,302 persons accounted for just one-third of the CMA’s population growth. The 905 areas (the Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ CMA beyond the city of Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ) had average annual growth of 45,693 persons between 2011 and 2016.

Graph: Average annual population in the City of Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ and 905

Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµâ€™s share of the CMA’s total population declined to 46 percent in 2016 from 53 percent as recently as 2001. Its population of 2,732,000 persons now is almost half a million fewer than the population of the 905 area (3,196,000).

Graph: Total population Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ and 905

Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµâ€™s share of the CMA’s total dwelling unit growth between mid-2011 and mid-2016 was larger than its population share – 46 percent versus 34 percent. The difference is explained by the smaller household sizes in Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ compared to the 905 areas (see below).

Average annual total dwelling growth in Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ and 905

Households in Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ in 2016 were over 20 percent smaller on average than households in the 905 areas – 2.45 persons compared to 3.12 persons. In both areas, average household size declined through the 2001-2016 period. Variations in the type of new housing built reflect this disparity in household sizes – mainly smaller-sized units in apartment towers in Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ and larger ground-related homes (singles, semis and townhouses) in the 905 areas.

Graph: Average household size in Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ and 905

1 All the numbers here are actual counts from the Census of Canada unadjusted for population undercount.